{"generated_at":"2026-05-19T17:38:26.836Z","trace":{"trace_id":"85d58b9c-f45f-4aa1-8b8a-7a4b1c1c8fea","agent_id":4140,"market_id":"0x7c153993d96f69a7a05eb48d41e188f6c79488a07eeae03ea08db56686a86bd3","market_question":"Will \"Striking Distance\" be the top global Netflix movie this week?","action":"SELL","raw_probability":0.25,"final_probability":0.2,"ipfs_cid":"QmcYqrXmxEXc6en6gkXJ1pWU3Ut4gu4w3vm8RTB6NXpt72","created_at":"2026-05-17 20:24:02.336056+00","dashboard_url":"https://prism-dashboard-production-e6e3.up.railway.app/trace/85d58b9c-f45f-4aa1-8b8a-7a4b1c1c8fea"},"validation":{"request_hash":"d2a337efc29eacff07b36e5ba3da69812699aed22263a36d06ace85ec11df93b","sentinel_agent_id":4148,"verdict_score":65,"verdict_label":"PASS","response_uri":"ipfs://QmYmfMRuHxRWJXHswWhRjbQkbqvKmpDaHxuwyR63bFk7AR","tx_hash":"0xa50f7d6fef13bbfd84e291a9597baa48055aa1eb57b18615054b4a02d9217ca8","created_at":"2026-05-17 20:24:30.905844+00"},"reasoning_metrics":{"evidence_count":4,"source_diversity":4,"thesis_steps":3,"evidence_reference_count":4,"evidence_coverage":1,"invalid_evidence_refs":0,"unsupported_thesis_steps":0,"risk_factor_count":6,"avg_evidence_confidence":0.725,"probability_delta":0.05,"has_falsification_language":false},"readiness":"usable","warnings":["Trace does not state clear falsification or exit language."],"capital_gate":{"status":"REVIEW","label":"Review required","tone":"warn","recommended_action":"Keep this in review or paper mode until issues are resolved.","reason":"Unresolved material issues remain in the issue ledger.","policy_constraints":["Unresolved material issues remain in the issue ledger."],"checks":{"validation_present":true,"trace_ready":true,"clean_pass_allowed":true,"endorsement_allowed":false}},"issue_ledger":{"summary":{"total_issues":6,"resolved_count":3,"unresolved_blocking_count":0,"unresolved_material_count":1,"clean_pass_allowed":true,"endorsement_allowed":false,"active_policy_constraints":["ENDORSE is blocked while material issues remain unresolved."],"explanation":"Sentinel returned PASS at 65/100 with material issues still open. ENDORSE remains gated."},"resolution_metadata":{"confidence":0.57,"stop_reason":"max_rounds","unresolved_blocking_count":0,"unresolved_material_count":1,"max_rounds":2},"issues":[{"id":"ev-1","type":"source_quality","severity":"material","blocking_pass":false,"resolution_status":"resolved","question":"The claim regarding December competition lacks specificity regarding 'Striking Distance's' expected viewership.","required_resolution":"Replace or corroborate weak sources with primary or reputable sources.","claim_ref":"evidence_challenges[0]","tool_status":"resolved","tool_provider":"exa_mcp","tool_receipt":{"provider":"exa_mcp","tool_name":"web_search_exa","source_title":"TOP 10 on Netflix in the World on April 15, 2026 • FlixPatrol","source_url":"https://flixpatrol.com/top10/netflix/world/2026-04-15/","retrieved_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:56.870337+00:00","confidence":0.76,"adequacy_checks":["source_metadata","readable_content","market_topic_overlap","issue_topic_overlap","source_quality_terms","no_source_quality_negation"],"extractor_provider":"exa_contents","extractor_tool_name":"web_fetch_exa","source_content_hash":"c395474da0514f611ec7e0762fe2d3c4298af586616943a6b7b07139d4c614ae","source_excerpt":"# TOP 10 on Netflix in the World on April 15, 2026 • FlixPatrol URL: https://flixpatrol.com/top10/netflix/world/2026-04-15/ TOP 10 on Netflix in the World on April 15, 2026 • FlixPatrol New feature of FlixPatrol Premium! – Not just complete TOP 10 web archive, but now with more API calls to purchase. FlixPatrol TOP 10 Netflix # TOP 10 on Netflix in the World on April 15, 2026 Netflix Worldwide Apr 15 The most popular movies and TV shows on Netflix in the World. Who was #1 on Netflix on April 15, 2026? TOP 10 charts or full ratings charts. Check the title detail for more streaming analytics. ##…","extracted_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:56.869444+00:00","extraction_checks":["url_fetch_ok","extract_readable_content","source_content_hash","quote_supports_snippet","title_supported_by_page","extracted_market_topic_overlap","extracted_issue_topic_overlap"]},"resolved_by_evidence_tool":true,"latest_resolution":{"challenge_id":"ev-1","status":"resolved","responder":"evidence_tool","response":"Retrieved issue-matched evidence from exa_mcp: TOP 10 on Netflix in the World on April 15, 2026 • FlixPatrol (https://flixpatrol.com/top10/netflix/world/2026-04-15/) — The most popular movies and TV shows on Netflix in the World. Who was #1 on Netflix on April 15, 2026? TOP 10 charts or full ratings charts. Check the title detail for more streaming analytics.\n| 1. | Thrash | 928 |\n| --- | --- | --- |\n| 2. | Sniper 2 | 363 |\n| 3. | Feel My Voice | 326 |\n| 4. | Four Brothers | 282 |\n| 5. | Striking Distance | 280 |\n| 6. | Reign Over Me | 268 |\n| 7. | Trevor Noah: Joy in the Trenches | 196 |\n| 8. | Sisu | 180 |\n| 9. | Anaconda | 134 |\n| 10. | Eat Pray Bark | 128 |\nFlixPatrol provides VOD charts and streaming ratings worldwide. You can find here all the Netflix charts (Netflix TOP 10 or what is Trending on Netflix), iTunes charts, Amazon Prime charts and HBO charts. These movie charts are based on the official trending or the most popular movies on VOD. We cover the most-watched movies and the most popular TV shows in 2021. FlixPatrol also offers selected movie analytics for movies everyone’s watching or VOD release dates. TOP 10 lists are updated daily.\n---","created_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:56.870334Z","tool_receipt":{"provider":"exa_mcp","tool_name":"web_search_exa","source_title":"TOP 10 on Netflix in the World on April 15, 2026 • FlixPatrol","source_url":"https://flixpatrol.com/top10/netflix/world/2026-04-15/","retrieved_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:56.870337+00:00","confidence":0.76,"adequacy_checks":["source_metadata","readable_content","market_topic_overlap","issue_topic_overlap","source_quality_terms","no_source_quality_negation"],"extractor_provider":"exa_contents","extractor_tool_name":"web_fetch_exa","source_content_hash":"c395474da0514f611ec7e0762fe2d3c4298af586616943a6b7b07139d4c614ae","source_excerpt":"# TOP 10 on Netflix in the World on April 15, 2026 • FlixPatrol URL: https://flixpatrol.com/top10/netflix/world/2026-04-15/ TOP 10 on Netflix in the World on April 15, 2026 • FlixPatrol New feature of FlixPatrol Premium! – Not just complete TOP 10 web archive, but now with more API calls to purchase. FlixPatrol TOP 10 Netflix # TOP 10 on Netflix in the World on April 15, 2026 Netflix Worldwide Apr 15 The most popular movies and TV shows on Netflix in the World. Who was #1 on Netflix on April 15, 2026? TOP 10 charts or full ratings charts. Check the title detail for more streaming analytics. ##…","extracted_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:56.869444+00:00","extraction_checks":["url_fetch_ok","extract_readable_content","source_content_hash","quote_supports_snippet","title_supported_by_page","extracted_market_topic_overlap","extracted_issue_topic_overlap"]}}},{"id":"ev-2","type":"temporal","severity":"material","blocking_pass":false,"resolution_status":"resolved","question":"The source for the claim about action movie performance is uncertain and does not directly connect to current trends.","required_resolution":"Provide current, date-aligned evidence or revise the action/probability.","claim_ref":"evidence_challenges[1]","tool_status":"resolved","tool_provider":"exa_mcp","tool_receipt":{"provider":"exa_mcp","tool_name":"web_search_exa","source_title":"The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026","source_url":"https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/","source_published_at":"2026-04-15T11:00:00.000Z","retrieved_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:58.552239+00:00","confidence":0.76,"adequacy_checks":["source_metadata","readable_content","market_topic_overlap","issue_topic_overlap","temporal_recency"],"extractor_provider":"exa_contents","extractor_tool_name":"web_fetch_exa","source_content_hash":"6cbc2da1e038210bc20c4951cf0f3aa04d9f681d74b22ef84d75e4585d96da64","source_excerpt":"# The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 URL: https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/ Published: 2026-04-15 Author: Anushka Bhattacharya The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 Credit: Netflix # The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 The most popular movies chart on Netflix has officially met its match this week, thanks to the streamer’s high-profile variety of trend-setters. Sitting on the throne of the international chart this week is Tommy Wirkola’s gripping new survival thriller,…","extracted_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:58.551110+00:00","extraction_checks":["url_fetch_ok","extract_readable_content","source_content_hash","quote_supports_snippet","title_supported_by_page","extracted_market_topic_overlap","extracted_issue_topic_overlap"]},"resolved_by_evidence_tool":true,"latest_resolution":{"challenge_id":"ev-2","status":"resolved","responder":"evidence_tool","response":"Retrieved issue-matched evidence from exa_mcp: The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 (https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/) — Up next on the most popular movies chart is a blast from the past, the 1993 action thriller, Striking Distance, starring Bruce Willis and Sarah Jessica Parker. The cop thriller is ranked fourth globally after garnering 5.9million views, making it one of the top 10 movies in 70 countries this week.\n- Thrash\n- The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson\n- Anaconda\n- Striking Distance\n- Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle\n- KPop Demon Hunters\n- Despicable Me 4\n- War Machine\n- Madagascar\n- Beast\n---","created_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:58.552235Z","tool_receipt":{"provider":"exa_mcp","tool_name":"web_search_exa","source_title":"The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026","source_url":"https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/","source_published_at":"2026-04-15T11:00:00.000Z","retrieved_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:58.552239+00:00","confidence":0.76,"adequacy_checks":["source_metadata","readable_content","market_topic_overlap","issue_topic_overlap","temporal_recency"],"extractor_provider":"exa_contents","extractor_tool_name":"web_fetch_exa","source_content_hash":"6cbc2da1e038210bc20c4951cf0f3aa04d9f681d74b22ef84d75e4585d96da64","source_excerpt":"# The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 URL: https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/ Published: 2026-04-15 Author: Anushka Bhattacharya The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 Credit: Netflix # The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 The most popular movies chart on Netflix has officially met its match this week, thanks to the streamer’s high-profile variety of trend-setters. Sitting on the throne of the international chart this week is Tommy Wirkola’s gripping new survival thriller,…","extracted_at":"2026-05-17T20:30:58.551110+00:00","extraction_checks":["url_fetch_ok","extract_readable_content","source_content_hash","quote_supports_snippet","title_supported_by_page","extracted_market_topic_overlap","extracted_issue_topic_overlap"]}}},{"id":"ev-3","type":"calibration","severity":"minor","blocking_pass":false,"resolution_status":"open","question":"Confidence levels for evidence claims are relatively low, with the highest being only 0.8, which might not sufficiently support the predictions.","required_resolution":"Recompute probability with the challenged uncertainty explicitly handled.","claim_ref":"evidence_challenges[2]","tool_status":"not_recorded","tool_provider":null,"tool_receipt":null,"resolved_by_evidence_tool":false,"latest_resolution":null},{"id":"th-1","type":"market_structure","severity":"material","blocking_pass":false,"resolution_status":"open","question":"The reasoning does not account for potential viral marketing effects, which could significantly shift viewer engagement, leading to an underestimation of 'Striking Distance's' performance.","required_resolution":"Verify the market is active, unresolved, and maps to a live event.","claim_ref":"thesis_challenges[0]","tool_status":"fail_closed","tool_provider":null,"tool_receipt":null,"resolved_by_evidence_tool":false,"latest_resolution":{"challenge_id":"th-1","status":"answered","responder":"system","response":"No additional evidence retrieved that satisfied this issue's required resolution; issue remains available for final adjudication.","created_at":"2026-05-17T20:31:01.723815Z","tool_receipt":null}},{"id":"cal-1","type":"calibration","severity":"minor","blocking_pass":false,"resolution_status":"open","question":"\"The probability adjustments do not appear sufficiently justified by the supporting evidence, creating a risk of miscalibration in assessing the chance of 'Striking Distance' reaching top ranks.\"","required_resolution":"Recompute probability with the challenged uncertainty explicitly handled.","claim_ref":"calibration_critique","tool_status":"not_recorded","tool_provider":null,"tool_receipt":null,"resolved_by_evidence_tool":false,"latest_resolution":null},{"id":"sys-temporal-stale-evidence","type":"temporal","severity":"blocking","blocking_pass":true,"resolution_status":"resolved","question":"4/4 evidence items are older than 365 days relative to trace creation.","required_resolution":"Provide current evidence or revise to HOLD/lower confidence.","claim_ref":"evidence[0],evidence[1],evidence[2],evidence[3]","tool_status":"resolved","tool_provider":"exa_mcp","tool_receipt":{"provider":"exa_mcp","tool_name":"web_search_exa","source_title":"The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026","source_url":"https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/","source_published_at":"2026-04-15T11:00:00.000Z","retrieved_at":"2026-05-17T20:31:00.927632+00:00","confidence":0.76,"adequacy_checks":["source_metadata","readable_content","market_topic_overlap","issue_topic_overlap","temporal_recency"],"extractor_provider":"exa_contents","extractor_tool_name":"web_fetch_exa","source_content_hash":"6cbc2da1e038210bc20c4951cf0f3aa04d9f681d74b22ef84d75e4585d96da64","source_excerpt":"# The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 URL: https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/ Published: 2026-04-15 Author: Anushka Bhattacharya The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 Credit: Netflix # The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 The most popular movies chart on Netflix has officially met its match this week, thanks to the streamer’s high-profile variety of trend-setters. Sitting on the throne of the international chart this week is Tommy Wirkola’s gripping new survival thriller,…","extracted_at":"2026-05-17T20:31:00.926628+00:00","extraction_checks":["url_fetch_ok","extract_readable_content","source_content_hash","quote_supports_snippet","title_supported_by_page","extracted_market_topic_overlap"]},"resolved_by_evidence_tool":true,"latest_resolution":{"challenge_id":"sys-temporal-stale-evidence","status":"resolved","responder":"evidence_tool","response":"Retrieved issue-matched evidence from exa_mcp: The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 (https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/) — Up next on the most popular movies chart is a blast from the past, the 1993 action thriller, Striking Distance, starring Bruce Willis and Sarah Jessica Parker. The cop thriller is ranked fourth globally after garnering 5.9million views, making it one of the top 10 movies in 70 countries this week.\n- Thrash\n- The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson\n- Anaconda\n- Striking Distance\n- Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle\n- KPop Demon Hunters\n- Despicable Me 4\n- War Machine\n- Madagascar\n- Beast\n---","created_at":"2026-05-17T20:31:00.927628Z","tool_receipt":{"provider":"exa_mcp","tool_name":"web_search_exa","source_title":"The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026","source_url":"https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/","source_published_at":"2026-04-15T11:00:00.000Z","retrieved_at":"2026-05-17T20:31:00.927632+00:00","confidence":0.76,"adequacy_checks":["source_metadata","readable_content","market_topic_overlap","issue_topic_overlap","temporal_recency"],"extractor_provider":"exa_contents","extractor_tool_name":"web_fetch_exa","source_content_hash":"6cbc2da1e038210bc20c4951cf0f3aa04d9f681d74b22ef84d75e4585d96da64","source_excerpt":"# The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 URL: https://best-of-netflix.com/the-10-most-popular-movies-on-netflix-this-week-april-2026-2/ Published: 2026-04-15 Author: Anushka Bhattacharya The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 Credit: Netflix # The 10 most popular movies on Netflix this week: April 2026 The most popular movies chart on Netflix has officially met its match this week, thanks to the streamer’s high-profile variety of trend-setters. Sitting on the throne of the international chart this week is Tommy Wirkola’s gripping new survival thriller,…","extracted_at":"2026-05-17T20:31:00.926628+00:00","extraction_checks":["url_fetch_ok","extract_readable_content","source_content_hash","quote_supports_snippet","title_supported_by_page","extracted_market_topic_overlap"]}}}]},"receipt_verification":{"response_uri":"ipfs://QmYmfMRuHxRWJXHswWhRjbQkbqvKmpDaHxuwyR63bFk7AR","verdict_ipfs":"ipfs://QmYmfMRuHxRWJXHswWhRjbQkbqvKmpDaHxuwyR63bFk7AR","validation_arc_tx":"0xa50f7d6fef13bbfd84e291a9597baa48055aa1eb57b18615054b4a02d9217ca8","schema_valid":true,"request_hash_matches":true,"trace_id_matches":true,"sentinel_agent_id_matches":true,"verdict_score_matches":true,"db_receipt_present":true},"receipts":{"trace_ipfs":"ipfs://QmcYqrXmxEXc6en6gkXJ1pWU3Ut4gu4w3vm8RTB6NXpt72","verdict_ipfs":"ipfs://QmYmfMRuHxRWJXHswWhRjbQkbqvKmpDaHxuwyR63bFk7AR","trace_arc_tx":"0xb5767ccdc29f7def5429a9efef58e8ad5c1df08e0e96011b03bdf21bdf38d6e2","validation_arc_tx":"0xa50f7d6fef13bbfd84e291a9597baa48055aa1eb57b18615054b4a02d9217ca8","polymarket_tx":null,"trade_status":"paper_filled"}}